The end of the pandemic: three main scenarios

New wave of COVID-19 came to Europe. A lot of countries have already thought to introduce another tough quarantine. Many specialists are trying to predict further development of the pandemic.

At the beginning of 2020, science journalist published several scenarios of the pandemic development. Thus, the first “Chinese scenario” implied that the coronavirus would hold out in Europe and the USA for several months and then disappear. Now it is known, that this didn’t happen. By the way, the journalists believed that this scenario is unlikely to become reality.

The second scenario implied that the coronavirus is similar to the swine flu: 0.7-1.4 billion people were infected, 150-575 thousand died. The coronavirus is more dangerous than the swine flu: today, more than 50 million of people are infected, 1,22 million died.

The third scenario implies that the coronavirus will stay forever. People have to adapt. Scientists believe than this scenario will become our reality.

The virus itself has adapted very well, that’s why it is almost impossible that it will disappear itself. Even the vaccine won’t change the situation drastically.

If the vaccine doesn’t help, the COVID-19 will become seasonal disease. Doctors will find the drugs to suppress the strain as it was with HIV.